bhodilee
quality posts: 30
Private Messages
Serious question: Has a Presidential candidate ever not carried his Home State and won?
I saw on CNN that Bambi has a 52-44% lead over Romneyator in Michigan.
"The power of accurate observation is commonly called cynicism by those who have not got it."
– George Bernard Shaw, author (1856-1950)
coynedj
quality posts: 7
Private Messages
bhodilee wrote:Serious question: Has a Presidential candidate ever not carried his Home State and won?
I saw on CNN that Bambi has a 52-44% lead over Romneyator in Michigan.
According to PresidentElect.org, this has happened twice:
- In 1844, James Polk lost his home state of Tennessee to Henry Clay but was still elected.
- In 1916, Woodrow Wilson lost his home state of New Jersey to Charles Evan Hughes but was still elected.
I started out on Burgundy but soon hit the harder stuff. Bob Dylan, Just Like Tom Thumb's Blues
How on earth did I get 7 QPs?
bhodilee
quality posts: 30
Private Messages
coynedj wrote:According to PresidentElect.org, this has happened twice:
- In 1844, James Polk lost his home state of Tennessee to Henry Clay but was still elected.
- In 1916, Woodrow Wilson lost his home state of New Jersey to Charles Evan Hughes but was still elected.
WOODY! I wouldn't have thought that, but thanks for looking it up.
"The power of accurate observation is commonly called cynicism by those who have not got it."
– George Bernard Shaw, author (1856-1950)
edlada
quality posts: 1
Private Messages
coynedj wrote:While Romney can still win the election, his time is running short and his opportunities few. His greatest opportunity is the debates, but with the first debate only two weeks away and more clips from the unfortunate fund-raiser talk still to come, it’s hard to imagine that he won’t spend that first debate doing anything other than defending himself. That’s not how one overcomes a deficit in the polls.
I can’t imagine how this video can be realistically spun as anything but a disaster for Romney.
IMHO the election is Romney's to lose. And Mitt is doing a mighty fine job of that. Campaigning on a lot of empty rhetoric (I am going to create millions of jobs, I will make America strong, I will lead) and not providing many specifics. The 47% video, including the missing minute or two, is just another glimpse into the man's mind and I and many others don't like what we see very much. Like many others as well, I am not always happy with Obama but I truly think the claims that Obama is taking us down the road to socialism are unmitigated horse hockey, and I think 4 more years of Obama is a far better alternative to Romney and god forbid, Ryan. As long as Obama does well in the debates against Romney it will be time to stick a fork in the out of touch, elitist businessman and his nasty little running mate. Just my 2 groszy worth anyway.
My dogs like me, that is important.
kylemittskus
quality posts: 213
Private Messages
rpm wrote:Be careful what you wish for, as they say. Whichever side loses will not take it well, especially if it is close and smacks of vote fraud. If Obama loses, his partisans may well cause trouble, and it will takes years to dig them out of the bureaucracy. If Obama wins, there are a lot of people who will react very badly as well. If the GOP holds the house, you'll see guerrilla warfare, similarly if Romney wins and the Dims hold the senate.
At some point, not so very far away, you will see more and more people going Galt and refusing to be beasts of burden for the government. QE3 is going usher in significant inflation. It will not be pretty.
Why do you mention voter fraud?
"If drinking is bitter, change yourself to wine." -Rainer Maria Rilke
"Champagne is a very kind and friendly thing on a rainy night." -Isak Dinesen
"There are many ways to the recognition of truth; Burgundy is one of them." -Isak Dinesen
bhodilee
quality posts: 30
Private Messages
rpm wrote:Be careful what you wish for, as they say. Whichever side loses will not take it well, especially if it is close and smacks of vote fraud. If Obama loses, his partisans may well cause trouble, and it will takes years to dig them out of the bureaucracy. If Obama wins, there are a lot of people who will react very badly as well. If the GOP holds the house, you'll see guerrilla warfare, similarly if Romney wins and the Dims hold the senate.
At some point, not so very far away, you will see more and more people going Galt and refusing to be beasts of burden for the government. QE3 is going usher in significant inflation. It will not be pretty.
We survived hanging chads once, we can do it again.
"The power of accurate observation is commonly called cynicism by those who have not got it."
– George Bernard Shaw, author (1856-1950)
kylemittskus
quality posts: 213
Private Messages
rpm wrote:Because it's very real. And it's 90+% Democrat. It elected JFK in 1960, Linda Sanchez over B-1 Bob Dornan in Orange County a decade or so ago, and Al Franken more recently. A Democrat candidate for the House just quit when it turned out she was not only registered in both Maryland and Florida, but had vote recently in both states. It's the reason Democrats overwhelming oppose voter ID laws.
I understand that having one person vote in two different states is absolutely a terrible thing. But I find it hard to believe (doesn't make it not true) that there are enough people double voting to change the presidential election. How double voting would be allowed to occur on a large enough scale is beyond my understanding. Similarly, a situation like the Bush Jr. round 1 where votes were allegedly just not counted seems odd to me. How this was allowed to occur is also beyond my understanding.
"If drinking is bitter, change yourself to wine." -Rainer Maria Rilke
"Champagne is a very kind and friendly thing on a rainy night." -Isak Dinesen
"There are many ways to the recognition of truth; Burgundy is one of them." -Isak Dinesen
bhodilee
quality posts: 30
Private Messages
rpm wrote:Nonsense. You're drinking the Kool-Aid and repeating the talking points for which there are no proofs. Most states provide these IDs free for those who don't drive. You have to show photo IDs for many purposes, why not to vote? Requiring photo ID (with an address) will drastically reduce illegal alien voting (a big problem where there are lots of illegals), and reduce double voting and graveyard voting. What it won't stop is pure ballot box stuffing, though when there are more votes cast than voters who showed up, showed IDs and voted, it's pretty clear there has been fraud. It's very clear that without vote fraud in Illinois (Chicago specifically), Nixon would have won in 1960, and very clear Al Franken would have lost.
Honestly, I've always thought it a little odd that I don't have to show my ID to vote. At least leave a fingerprint or something. Dip your finger in ink and wear that as a badge of pride. Better than the stupid sticker I get.
I don't think voter fraud is a big issue. I'm more concerned that the 90 year old lady who marks my name off is actually marking my name and not someone else's by mistake. At least I have to sign I guess.
"The power of accurate observation is commonly called cynicism by those who have not got it."
– George Bernard Shaw, author (1856-1950)
bhodilee
quality posts: 30
Private Messages
rpm wrote:If fraud has - as it demonstrably has - changed the outcome of races at the presidential, senatorial and house level within living memory, and if we have more votes cast than voters in recent elections, then it's a big problem. Not, perhaps, if you like the outcomes, but for democracy it is truly disastrous.
How is an ID going to stop the problem of more votes cast than voters? That has to happen behind the booth.
Also, it's ridiculous easy to get a fake I.D. Do you really think your typical elderly poll person is going to be able to spot a fake?
"The power of accurate observation is commonly called cynicism by those who have not got it."
– George Bernard Shaw, author (1856-1950)
kylemittskus
quality posts: 213
Private Messages
MarkDaSpark wrote:Except wait until 2016, when Election Day Registration takes effect in California!
So, now we should be afraid of a problem that may, although for many reasons likely won't, happen, since the original problem we were supposed to be afraid of never actually did? Fear mongering FTW!
"If drinking is bitter, change yourself to wine." -Rainer Maria Rilke
"Champagne is a very kind and friendly thing on a rainy night." -Isak Dinesen
"There are many ways to the recognition of truth; Burgundy is one of them." -Isak Dinesen
kylemittskus
quality posts: 213
Private Messages
rpm wrote:I simply don't believe this: I read over a year ago that several thousands of felons were illegally registered to vote in Florida. Even if the provable numbers of fraudulent registrants is small in relation to the total electorate, it may still be significant in any close election.
Requiring picture ID is such a simple step, I find it impossible to believe anyone could oppose it unless they were indifferent to election fraud.
I'm fine with requiring an ID. I see that as a separate issue from the discussion here that democrats win by fraud and republicans don't and we should all keep being scared of an issue that while it exists, is about # 9,000 on my list of things to be afraid of.
I also find it odd that you are simply rejecting an entire news story because it doesn't jive with what you've been led to believe (without saying that you've been led true or astray). Without any opposing evidence, it seems that you're saying, "That story disagrees with my beliefs that elections are fraudulent, especially with democrats, so I reject it." Does the story have a slant? Sure. But I can't see completely stripping it of any truth.
And the FL election you're talking about was Bush Jr. round 1, but you've got the sides wrong. (sarcastic tone, truthful statement)
"If drinking is bitter, change yourself to wine." -Rainer Maria Rilke
"Champagne is a very kind and friendly thing on a rainy night." -Isak Dinesen
"There are many ways to the recognition of truth; Burgundy is one of them." -Isak Dinesen